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URI permanente para esta coleçãohttps://locus.ufv.br/handle/123456789/11797

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    Robustness and fragility of the susceptible- infected- susceptible epidemic models on complex networks
    (Physical Review E, 2018) Cota, Wesley; Mata, Angélica S.; Ferreira, Silvio C.
    We analyze two alterations of the standard susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) dynamics that preserve the central properties of spontaneous healing and infection capacity of a vertex increasing unlimitedly with its degree. All models have the same epidemic thresholds in mean-field theories but depending on the network properties, simulations yield a dual scenario, in which the epidemic thresholds of the modified SIS models can be either dramatically altered or remain unchanged in comparison with the standard dynamics. For uncorrelated synthetic networks having a power-law degree distribution with exponent γ<5/2, the SIS dynamics are robust exhibiting essentially the same outcomes for all investigated models. A threshold in better agreement with the heterogeneous rather than quenched mean-field theory is observed in the modified dynamics for exponent γ>5/2. Differences are more remarkable for γ>3, where a finite threshold is found in the modified models in contrast with the vanishing threshold of the original one. This duality is elucidated in terms of epidemic lifespan on star graphs. We verify that the activation of the modified SIS models is triggered in the innermost component of the network given by a k-core decomposition for γ<3 while it happens only for γ<5/2 in the standard model. For γ>3, the activation in the modified dynamics is collective involving essentially the whole network while it is triggered by hubs in the standard SIS. The duality also appears in the finite-size scaling of the critical quantities where mean-field behaviors are observed for the modified but not for the original dynamics. Our results feed the discussions about the most proper conceptions of epidemic models to describe real systems and the choices of the most suitable theoretical approaches to deal with these models.
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    Epidemic spreading in a scale-free network of regular lattices
    (Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 2007-04-15) Silva, S. L.; Ferreira, J. A.; Martins, M. L.
    The susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) epidemics in a scale-free network in which each node is a square lattice itself is investigated through large-scale computer simulations. The model combines a local contact process among individuals in a node (or city) with stochastic long-range infections due to people traveling between cities interconnected by the national transportation scale-free network. A nonzero epidemic threshold is found and it is approached with a power-law behavior by the density of infected individuals, as observed in the small-world network of Watts and Strogatz. Also, the epidemic propagation follows a 1/f , hierarchical dynamics from the highly connected square lattices to the smaller degree nodes in outbreaks with sizes distributed accordingly a Gaussian function.
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    Optimized Gillespie algorithms for the simulation of Markovian epidemic processes on large and heterogeneous networks
    (Computer Physics Communications, 2017-10) Cota, Wesley; Ferreira, Silvio C.
    Numerical simulation of continuous-time Markovian processes is an essential and widely applied tool in the investigation of epidemic spreading on complex networks. Due to the high heterogeneity of the connectivity structure through which epidemic is transmitted, efficient and accurate implementations of generic epidemic processes are not trivial and deviations from statistically exact prescriptions can lead to uncontrolled biases. Based on the Gillespie algorithm (GA), in which only steps that change the state are considered, we develop numerical recipes and describe their computer implementations for statistically exact and computationally efficient simulations of generic Markovian epidemic processes aiming at highly heterogeneous and large networks. The central point of the recipes investigated here is to include phantom processes, that do not change the states but do count for time increments. We compare the efficiencies for the susceptible–infected–susceptible, contact process and susceptible–infected–recovered models, that are particular cases of a generic model considered here. We numerically confirm that the simulation outcomes of the optimized algorithms are statistically indistinguishable from the original GA and can be several orders of magnitude more efficient.
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    Multiple transitions of the susceptible-infected-susceptible epidemic model on complex networks
    (Physical Review E, 2015-01-22) Mata, Angélica S.; Ferreira, Silvio C.
    The epidemic threshold of the susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) dynamics on random networks having a power law degree distribution with exponent γ > 3 has been investigated using different mean-field approaches, which predict different outcomes. We performed extensive simulations in the quasistationary state for a comparison with these mean-field theories. We observed concomitant multiple transitions in individual networks presenting large gaps in the degree distribution and the obtained multiple epidemic thresholds are well described by different mean-field theories. We observed that the transitions involving thresholds which vanish at the thermodynamic limit involve localized states, in which a vanishing fraction of the network effectively contributes to epidemic activity, whereas an endemic state, with a finite density of infected vertices, occurs at a finite threshold. The multiple transitions are related to the activations of distinct subdomains of the network, which are not directly connected.